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Ross Smith at 20/1: Vorsprung Durch Darts
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Our pick
Confidence: Low
Best price
6/1
Stake
0.5 pt
To return
3.50 pt
The reasoning
Clayton’s Swiss Darts Trophy victory was a proper performance. He opened with a 108.81 average against Maik Kuivenhoven, then beat Rob Cross, Karel Sedlacek and Gian van Veen before defeating Humphries in the final.
That’s a strong weekend against serious opposition. The 108.81 was one match, so I’m not treating it as his normal level, but the results across the tournament give the performance more substance.
I’d want 6/1 or bigger to reach the final, and I’d need to see his half of the draw first.
Verdict
Recent-form angle. Smaller stake, needs the right half of the draw.
Where this bet goes wrong
One strong weekend inflates the market. If his price shortens or his draw is unkind, pass.