Luke Littler is riding the hype in darts. Because informed bettors prioritise statistics over hype, we’ve put together an analysis of Luke Littler’s form ahead of the year’s final matches. His profile shows balance: elite scoring, sustained averages, and finishing strong enough to close out tight legs. According to the form guide tracking around 200 recent legs, he topped the field in three pillars of winning darts — overall average, 171–180 scoring, and doubles. A rare triple crown of form indicators. Check out the complete analysis below!
| Tournament | Opponent | Result | Average | 180s | Doubles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam - Group | Karel Sedlacek | Win 5-2 | 112.16 | 12 | 3 |
| Grand Slam - Group | Connor Scutt | Win 5-1 | 105.4 | 8 | 4 |
| Grand Slam - Group | Daryl Gurney | Win 5-2 | 103.2 | 6 | 3 |
| Grand Slam - Last 16 | Mike De Decker | Win 10-9 | 104.8 | 9 | 4 |
| Grand Slam - Quarter-Final | Jermaine Wattimena | Win 16-2 | 105.0 | 7 | 3 |
| Grand Slam - Semi-Final | Luke Humphries (QF) | Win 16-10 | 102.6 | 11 | 4 |
| Grand Slam - FINAL | Luke Humphries | Win 16-11 | 101.84 | 15 | 6 |
| PCF - Round 2 | Ross Smith | Win 6-3 | 107.0 | 11 | 5 |
| PCF - Round 3 | Ricardo Pietreczko | Win 10-6 | 102.67 | 4 | 6 |
| PCF - Quarter-Final | Chris Dobey | Win 10-5 | 107.88 | 7 | 5 |
| PCF - Semi-Final | Gerwyn Price | Win 11-8 | 108.48 | 10 | 4 |
| PCF - FINAL | Nathan Aspinall | Win 11-8 | 103.33 | 7 | 5 |
Luke Littler form – his latest numbers
Across November, Littler defended his Grand Slam of Darts title with a final win over Luke Humphries, and in earlier rounds produced standout displays like his dominant victory over Wessel Nijman, where he averaged over 105, hit five 180s, and cleaned up on the outer ring with 5/6 doubles. He carried that momentum into the Players Championship Finals, where he dispatched Chris Dobey 10–5.
When you zoom out to his rolling 12 month data, the profile remains brutally consistent: a ~100.96 average, 922 maximums, a checkout rate around 43%, and a leg-win rate near 60%. Critically, with the throw he wins roughly 72% of legs.
Luke Littler form highlights
- 180 rate: ~46 per 100 legs; this elite scoring makes 180 markets and handicap lines attractive.
- Doubles: ~47% in November-form samples; enough to finish efficiently, though not immune to lapses.
- Average stability: Repeatedly over 100 in televised matches; reliable for over/under average props.
These numbers make him attractive in markets involving match outcomes, 180 totals, and overs on averages.
The obvious bullish case is that Luke Littler’s November wasn’t a hot streak but the continuation of a trend: heavy scoring creates margin for error, and strong finishing converts it into wins. For match betting, he’s a high-probability pick unless the market depresses his odds to the point of poor value. On the other hand, a skeptic would point out that even in dominant matches, moments of double-trouble appeared, as in the Dobey match.
Risk Spots
Even dominance comes with vulnerabilities, and ignoring them is where bettors lose value. Here are some risk spots to consider:
1. Finishing volatility
He can switch from clinical to messy quickly. Matches like the Dobey win showed patches where doubles stalled. Against top opposition, those small droughts can flip a set or tighten a handicap line.
2. Reliance on scoring momentum
His game thrives on sustained heavy scoring. When the 180 output dips, his legs can suddenly become grindy, exposing him to scrappier opponents who excel in longer exchanges.
3. Fatigue
November was packed. Young players often handle the pace well, but tight scheduling increases the chance of one sluggish session that ruins over-averages or multi-leg props.
Overall, the November data supports the idea that Littler is a high-probability, low-variance pick. This doesn’t mean players should overlook his risk spots. Value now comes from selective markets rather than automatic outright backing.
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