Luke Humphries Form 2026

Luke Humphries continues to be one of the most consistent and dangerous players in the field. However, while his form is impressive overall, it’s important for bettors to dig deeper and understand where his strengths lie, and where his vulnerabilities might open the door for an upset. Let’s break it down for you, from the top stats to the risk spots that could make or break his performance.

Luke Humphries form – his recent results

In his last 16 win over Kevin Doets in the PDC World Championhip, Humphries posted a 103.07 average with eight maximums, showing he still has firepower at the big stage.

He was though then beaten 5–1 by Gian van Veen in the quarter-finals, and in that match his tournament average was recorded at 101.12.

Those championship matches suggest his peak averages in recent form are clearly capable of 100+ darts, even if his rolling average (the broader metric bettors often lean on) remains high-90s.

At the Grand Slam of Darts in early November 2025, Humphries showed serious scoring heat. In a group match against Michael Smith, he dropped a nine‑dart leg, opening a leg with a 177 and following it with a 180 before finishing 144 (his third nine‑darter of 2025). That’s the kind of performance that will light up 180 and total scoring markets

He then blew the doors off in the knockouts with a massive 108.55 average in a 10–3 win over Jurjen van der Velde, the third‑highest Round Two average at the event, and hit 77% on doubles en route to that win. That’s elite level right there and suggests he still has the firepower to beat almost anyone when he’s in that zone. By the semi‑final, Humphries had his rhythm, beating Gerwyn Price 16–13 with a high tally of 180s and combining heavy scoring with timely finishing.

But in the Grand Slam final, he ran into a red‑hot Luke Littler and lost 16–11. Littler was averaging over 100 and converted his chances better when it mattered, leaving Humphries just a bit off the pace in legs, despite a strong start and solid scoring.

So far in November, that’s one spectacular performance, one big final, and one high‑pressure loss. A mixed bag of elite scoring and a vulnerability when the go‑button is pushed by a rival.

Then came the Players Championship Finals later in the month. Here was a significant misfire: Humphries, who had won this event for the past two years, crashed out in round one, losing 6–5 to Gian van Veen despite leading earlier in the clash. That scalp has become a bit of a streak. It was Van Veen’s fourth straight win over him in 2025.

From a results perspective, November delivered a trophy shot, a final defeat, and an early exit. For bettors who like consistency, that’s a red flag. It shows he’s not bulletproof at crucial moments.

Luke Humphries Averages, 180s, Doubles

Humphries’ scoring metrics were elite on headline nights:

• Luke Humphries 180s average: ~0.40–0.42 per leg. In longer formats, that rate compounds nicely. If a match runs 20–25 legs, Humphries landing 8–10 180s is completely realistic.

• First nine dart average: ~106–108

• Three-dart match average: ~98–100

Doubles, though, are the big story in November. In his best display he managed great finishing (77% on doubles in that big win). In other matches though, especially the loss to Van Veen, he couldn’t close the door. A double‑conversion rate that fluctuates between elite and average is dangerous for bettors who expect textbook performance every match.

Risk Spots

Let’s also see some of the risk spots to watch out for:

1. Pressure Matches vs Hot Opponents

Against Littler and Van Veen (both really rolling), Humphries faltered. In the final against Littler he started well but couldn’t put the hammer down late, and against Van Veen he blew a lead and lost. Big names with confidence can expose him, meaning head‑to‑head markets are riskier than you’d think.

2. Finishing Fluctuations

Humphries can hit a 77% checkout rate like he did in one Grand Slam match, but he’s also shown he can go cold when it matters most. That’s the difference between covering a handicap and getting beat outright in close matches, a classic spot where undervalued opponents are worth a look in match and handicap markets.

3. Tournament Momentum

He came into November as defending champ in Minehead, only to go out first round at the Players Championship Finals. Bettors who blindly back champions are prone to overpay, and Humphries’ form shows that streaks can break suddenly.

Betting tips

Some markets worth considering when backing Humphries:

• 180s markets / over totals: He’s shown elite scoring and a nine‑darter. You’re backing a legit scoring machine.
• Averages overs: When he’s hot, he’s very hot. His big averages make these props appealing.

Some riskier markets:

• Match winner vs rising rivals: He’s lost to guys like Van Veen repeatedly. Cheeky upsets are real.
• Handicap markets against top phot-finish players: Variable doubling means swings. Don’t overestimate his leg coverage.

Bottom Line

November showed a top‑tier scorer with occasional finishing hiccups. When he’s locked in, he’s capable of 108‑plus cricket and a bucketload of 180s. But when the doubles go cold or he faces confident, in‑form rivals, he slips up. For bettors, that means leaning into scoring props and being wary of lock‑it‑in head‑to‑head bets without checking nuance, especially against opponents with nothing to lose.

Check out the analysis of Luke Littler’s form and Michael Van Gerwen’s form too!